Re: [ldm-users] [conduit] GFS change at 1200 UTC 25 September?

>I have had a couple of users complain about changes in the GFS data 
>starting with the 1200 UTC run on 25 September.  I notice there is a 
>jump up in the size of the gempak files starting with that run.  Does 
>anyone know of any changes?  If you are curious about what I am talking 
>about, look at this page, which uses the 0.5 degree data:
>
>http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~hakim/loop.psp?url=~hakim/tropo/theta/
>
>Start the loop and look at the areas in white go from smooth to noisy 
>with the 1200 UTC 25th run.  Another user is now having problems with 
>his WRF initialization that he did not have before this.

I just received the following:

>All,
>
>You are receiving this message because you have been identified as a
>user of NCEP model data.
>
>Users reported some problems with the GFS model changes which were 
>implemented on Sep 25 2007.  NCEP's EMC and NCO have coordinated and 
>tested a package which addresses these problems.  The results have been 
>verified by parties in the public and private sectors.
>
>This improved GFS package will be implemented on Oct 10 2007 at 12Z.
>
>The specific problems addressed are:
>
>Grid Interpolation: A change will be made to the interpolation routine 
>for AWIPS and WAFS products, as well as GFS grids sets sent to public 
>servers. The change will reflect a more consistent bi-linear 
>interpolation.  This will remove much of the noise observed in contours, 
>as well as soil/land inconsistencies.
>
>Spurious High Pressure over Mountainous Coasts: A change to the GFS post 
>codes will remove a persistent, spurious high pressure system observed 
>over Hawaii and the Alaskan coast.
>
>If you encounter any problems with this GFS implementation, please 
>contact the following PMB Data Flow helpdesk email address with your 
>concern.
>
>NCEP.PMB.Dataflow@xxxxxxxx
>
>Thank you and we apologize for any inconvenience this model change may 
>have caused.
>
>NCEP/NCO/PMB
>
>End of Message.
>
>
>All,
>
>You are receiving this message because you have been identified as a
>user of NCEP model data on the NCEP and/or NWS ftp servers.
>
>The GFS model will be upgraded on Sep 25 2007.  The most significant
>impact of this change will result in grib1 and grib2 files which are
>10-30% larger than with the current GFS.  A few other changes are
>occurring in the modeling system.  Please see the NWS TIN which is attached.
>
>All other changes to NCEP modeling systems can be found at the following
>website:
>http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/changes/
>
>Thanks,
>Joey Carr
>
>SUBJECT:  UPGRADE TO NCEP GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/
>
>EFFECTIVE TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 25 2007...WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED
>UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
>PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL UPGRADE THE GFS POST PROCESSOR.
>
>THE PRIMARY EFFORT BEHIND THIS UPGRADE WILL BE TO UNIFY THE POST
>PROCESSING CODE FOR THE NORTH AMERICAN MESO SCALE /NAM/ MODEL AND THE
>GFS INTO THE NEW NCEP POST. AFTER THE UPGRADE...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS
>MODELS WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE FIELDS ORIGINALLY CREATED FOR EACH
>UNIQUE MODEL.
>
>THE PRIMARY IMPACT TO CUSTOMERS RECEIVING THE GFS WILL BE THAT THE
>DEFAULT PRECIPITATION TYPE ALGORITHM WILL CHANGE FROM THE BALDWIN METHOD
>TO THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE.  THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE IS
>DETERMINED BY TAKING THE PREDICTED TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE PROFILES AND
>RUNNING THEM THROUGH FIVE ALGORITHMS: BALDWIN (NCEP)...REVISED
>NCEP...RAMER...BOURGOUIN
>...AND AN EXPLICIT MICROPHYSICS ALGORITHM.  AT EACH POINT...THE CODE
>DETERMINES WHICH PRECIPITATION TYPE WAS PREDICTED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE
>ALGORITHMS AND USES THAT AS THE DOMINANT TYPE.  TIES ARE BROKEN IN FAVOR
>OF THE MORE DANGEROUS WEATHER (ZR>SN>IP>RA).
>
>IN ADDITION...THE SAME ALGORITHMS WILL BE USED TO DERIVE MOST FIELDS FOR
>THE TWO MODELS.
>
>THE PRODUCTS/GRIDS WHICH ARE DISSEMINATED TO NOAAPORT AND/OR THE
>SATELLITE BROADCAST NETWORK /SBN/ WILL NOT BE CHANGED IN VOLUME OR CONTENT.
>
>NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING A REAL-TIME PARALLEL.
>RESULTS FROM THESE PARALLEL RUNS CAN BE VIEWED AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
>
>HTTP://WWW.NCO.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PMB/NWPARA/ANALYSIS/
>
>IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS CONCERNING THESE CHANGES...PLEASE CONTACT:
>
>DR MARK IREDELL
>NCEP/EMC...CHIEF GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
>CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
>PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7231
>EMAIL: MARK.IREDELL@xxxxxxxx
>
>OR
>
>KEN CAMPANA
>NCEP/EMC...GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
>CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
>PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7228
>EMAIL: KENNETH.CAMPANA@xxxxxxxx

        Kevin W. Thomas
        Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms
        University of Oklahoma
        Norman, Oklahoma
        Email:  kwthomas@xxxxxx


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