20070507: real time ocean fcst sys: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC]

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-------- Original Message --------

931 NOUS41 KWBC 071253
PNSWSH

TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 07-33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
853 AM EDT MON MAY 7 2007

TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS ...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:     PAUL HIRSCHBERG
         CHIEF...SCIENCE PLANS BRANCH
         OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY /OST/

SUBJECT:  NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/
REAL TIME OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM /RTOFS/ MODEL UPGRADE: EFFECTIVE JUNE 5 2007

NOTE: NCEP COASTAL OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM /COFS/ TO BE DISCONTINUED 90 DAYS AFTER THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS RTOFS UPDATE. SEE DETAILS BELOW.

EFFECTIVE TUESDAY JUNE 5 2007...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...NCEP WILL UPGRADE THE RTOFS FORECAST SYSTEM.

THIS UPGRADE IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THE RTOFS ANALYSIS AND
FORECAST SKILL AS WELL AS EXTEND THE PRODUCTS SUITE FOR THE
RTOFS ATLANTIC DOMAIN.

DETAILS OF THESE CHANGES ARE AS FOLLOWS:

ALGORITHM CHANGES: A. DATA ASSIMILATION
- FOR SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE: CHANGES IN NUDGING PARAMETERS...
 REMOVAL OF BIAS FOR GOES SST OBSERVATIONS.
- FOR SEA SURFACE HEIGHT: NEW ALGORITHMS TO ASSIMILATE SEA
 SURFACE HEIGHT ANOMALIES FROM JASON AND GFO.
- FOR VERTICAL PROFILES OF TEMPERATURE AND SALINITY: NEW
 ALGORITHMS TO ASSIMILATE TEMPERATURE AND SALINITY PROFILES.

B. HYCOM MODEL

- REMOVE APPROXIMATION TO BOTTOM PRESSURE IN MONTGOMERY POTENTIAL
 CALCULATION.
- IMPROVE STABILITY IN PRESSURE GRADIENT CALCULATIONS.
- THE TWO INVARIANT EXTERNAL MODE BOUNDARY CONDITION IS BEING RE-DEPLOYED.
- FOR WATER FLUXES INTO THE OCEAN /RIVERS AND PRECIPITATION MINUS
 EVAPORATION/: THE WATER COLUMN MIGHT BE REFRESHED TO ARBITRARY
DEPTH...AS NEEDED.
C. DATA INPUTS AND MODEL PARAMETERS

- USE REVISED AND EXTENDED HYDROBASE CLIMATOLOGY NCEP VERSION 6.
- NUMBER OF VERTICAL LEVELS INCREASED FROM 25 TO 26 WITH IMPROVED DENSITY TARGETS. - USE REVISED RIVER INFLOW DATA /LOCATION...STRENGTH/ FROM UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY RIVER OUTFLOW DATA IN REAL TIME. - REMOVE NOISE IN NET HEAT FLUX.
- IMPROVED VALUES OF TRANSPORT AND SURFACE ELEVATION USED AT OPEN
 BOUNDARIES.

D. PRODUCTS

- USE GRIB FILES ON NATIVE GRIDS.
- USE REGIONAL GRIB FILES FOR GULF OF MEXICO NORTH-WEST
 ATLANTIC /2 SUB-REGIONS/ FOR EFFICIENT TRANSMISSION.

NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING A PARALLEL REAL-TIME FORECAST EMPLOYING THESE UPGRADES. THE PRODUCTS FROM THIS PARALLEL FORECAST CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

FTP://FTPPRD.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PUB/DATA2/COM/OFS/PARA/OFS.YYYYMMDD

IN ADDITION TO THE ABOVE UPGRADE...THE AVAILABILITY OF THE NCEP COFS MODEL ON THE NCEP FTP SERVER WILL BE DISCONTINUED 90 DAYS AFTER THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE RTOFS UPDATE. THE COFS DATA ARE CURRENTLY FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

FTP://FTPPRD.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PUB/DATA2/COM/COFS/PROD/COFS.YYYYMMDD

SAMPLES OF NOWCAST AND FORECAST FIELDS... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NOWCAST/FORECAST EVALUATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

    HTTP://POLAR.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/OFS

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT THIS CHANGE...PLEASE CONTACT:

VERA GERALD NCEP...MARINE MODELING AND ANALYSIS BRANCH CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7213 EMAIL: VERA.GERALD@xxxxxxxx

THIS AND OTHER NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM $$


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