[nws-changes] 20070821: upgrade NCEP GFS-Fwd: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC]

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-------- Original Message --------

480 NOUS41 KWBC 211130
PNSWSH

TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 07-59
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
730 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007

TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS
         WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/SUBSCRIBERS...
OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ USERS AND OTHER PARTNERS...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:     PAUL HIRSCHBERG
         CHIEF...SCIENCE PLANS BRANCH
         OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY /OST/

SUBJECT:  UPGRADE TO NCEP GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/:
         EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 25 2007

EFFECTIVE TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 25 2007...WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL UPGRADE THE GFS POST PROCESSOR. THE PRIMARY EFFORT BEHIND THIS UPGRADE WILL BE TO UNIFY THE POST PROCESSING CODE FOR THE NORTH AMERICAN MESOSCALE /NAM/ MODEL AND THE GFS INTO THE NEW NCEP POST. AFTER THE UPGRADE...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS MODELS WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE FIELDS ORIGINALLY CREATED FOR EACH UNIQUE MODEL. THE PRIMARY IMPACT TO CUSTOMERS RECEIVING THE GFS WILL BE THAT THE DEFAULT PRECIPITATION TYPE ALGORITHM WILL CHANGE FROM THE BALDWIN METHOD TO THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE IS DETERMINED BY TAKING THE PREDICTED TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE PROFILES AND RUNNING THEM THROUGH FIVE ALGORITHMS: BALDWIN /NCEP/...REVISED NCEP...RAMER...BOURGOUIN ...AND AN EXPLICIT MICROPHYSICS ALGORITHM. AT EACH POINT...THE CODE DETERMINES WHICH PRECIPITATION TYPE WAS PREDICTED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE ALGORITHMS AND USES THAT AS THE DOMINANT TYPE. TIES ARE BROKEN IN FAVOR OF THE MORE DANGEROUS WEATHER /ZR>SN>IP>RA/.

IN ADDITION THE SAME ALGORITHMS WILL BE USED TO DERIVE MOST FIELDS FOR THE TWO MODELS.

THE PRODUCTS/GRIDS WHICH ARE DISSEMINATED TO NOAAPORT AND/OR THE SATELLITE BROADCAST NETWORK /SBN/ WILL NOT BE CHANGED IN VOLUME OR CONTENT.

NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS IS CURRENTLY RUNNING A REAL-TIME PARALLEL. RESULTS FROM THESE PARALLEL RUNS CAN BE VIEWED AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

HTTP://WWW.NCO.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PMB/NWPARA/ANALYSIS/ IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS CONCERNING THESE CHANGES...PLEASE CONTACT:
DR MARK IREDELL
NCEP/EMC...CHIEF GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7231
EMAIL: MARK.IREDELL@xxxxxxxx
 OR
KEN CAMPANA
NCEP/EMC...GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
PHONE: 301 763 8000 X7228
EMAIL: KENNETH.CAMPANA@xxxxxxxx


THIS AND OTHER NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
 HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$





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