[nws-changes] 20080508: amended GFS-Fwd: ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC]

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-------- Original Message --------

213 NOUS41 KWBC 081222
PNSWSH

TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 08-31 AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
822 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2008

TO:       SUBSCRIBERS:
         -FAMILY OF SERVICES
         -NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE
         -EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK
         OTHER NWS PARTNERS...USERS AND EMPLOYEES

FROM:     JASON TUELL
         SCIENCE PLANS BRANCH CHIEF
OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SUBJECT: AMENDED: GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM CHANGES: EFFECTIVE DATE CHANGED TO JUNE 3 2008 REFER TO: TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE /TIN/ 08-31 TRANSMITTED ON APRIL 2 2008

AMENDED TO DELAY THE IMPLEMENTATION DATE FROM MAY 13 2008 TO JUNE 3 2008 TO ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL TESTING. FURTHER DELAY IS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON TEST RESULTS. ANOTHER AMENDMENT WILL BE ISSUED IF THERE IS NECESSARY. THE ORIGINAL NOTICE...WITH A REVISED DATE...IS GIVEN BELOW: EFFECTIVE JUNE 3 2008...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...SEVERAL CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/ MODELING SYSTEM. THESE CHANGES ARE BEING MADE TO IMPROVE MODEL PERFORMANCE.

THE FOLLOWING FOUR CHANGES INVOLVE A SIGNIFICANT UPGRADE IN THE CONSISTENCY AND ACCURACY OF THE MODEL RADIATION PARAMETERIZATIONS:

1. HOURLY RRTM1 LONGWAVE RADIATION RRTM SHORTWAVE RADIATION 2. MAXIMUM-RANDOM CLOUD OVERLAP FOR SHORTWAVE GENERALIZED AEROSOL TREATMENT AND REALISTIC CO2 3. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS OF OROGRAPHIC GRAVITY WAVE VARIANCE RANGE LIMITS AND MOUNTAIN BLOCKING BUG FIX 4. ENTHALPY THERMODYNAMIC PROGNOSTIC VARIABLE WHICH ALLOWS FOR GREATER FLEXIBILITY AND IN CARRYING ATMOSPHERIC CONSTITUENTS

THE ANALYSIS CHANGES INCLUDE:

1.  ADDING WINDSAT NEAR SURFACE WINDS
2.  ADDING NOAA-18 SBUV/2 OZONE
3.  FOTO /FIRST-ORDER TIME-EXTRAPOLATION TO OBSERVATIONS/
4.  VARIATIONAL QC
5.  CHANGE IN LAND/SNOW/ICE SKIN TEMPERATURE VARIANCE
6.  FLOW DEPENDENT RE-WEIGHTING OF BACKGROUND ERROR VARIANCES
7. BUG FIXES TO PROCESSING OF COSMIC GPSRO DATA...GROSS CHECK...AND ADJUSTMENT OF OBSERVATION ERROR FOR VERTICALLY DENSE OBSERVATIONS
8.  CODE AND SCRIPT OPTIMIZATION

OTHER OUTPUT CHANGES INCLUDE:

1. THE INTERNAL MODEL SPECTRAL /SIGMA/ FILE IS CHANGING ITS FORMAT SLIGHTLY. THIS FILE IS NOT USED FOR PRODUCTS. ONLY ITS HEADER INFORMATION IS CHANGING. USERS GUIDE AND SAMPLE CODE AND FILES CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

   HTTP://WWW.EMC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/GMB/IREDELL/GFS/SAMPLE2008/

2. THERE ARE NO OTHER OUTPUT CHANGES. NOTABLY NO GRIB PRODUCTS ARE CHANGING.

THE COMBINED IMPACT OF THESE CHANGES HAS LED TO THE FOLLOWING IMPROVEMENTS IN MODEL PERFORMANCE:

1. IMPROVED SKILL IN EXTRATROPICAL 3-DAY FORECAST PERFORMANCE AT 500 MB...PARTICULARLY IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE BETTER LOWER STRATOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE

2. MORE DETAILS ABOUT THESE CHANGES CAN BE SEEN AT /USE LOWERCASE/:

   HTTP://WWW.EMC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/GMB/WX24FY/VSDB_EXP/SUMMER07/

DATA DELIVERY TIMING WILL NOT BE IMPACTED BY THIS IMPLEMENTATION. DATA VOLUMES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE. SIGNIFICANT DATA CONTENT CHANGES ARE NOT EXPECTED. THESE MODEL CHANGES WILL IMPACT ALL DISSEMINATION ROUTES WHICH INCLUDE NOAAPORT...THE NWS PUBLIC FTP SERVER AND THE NCEP PUBLIC FTP SERVER. A CONSISTENT PARALLEL FEED OF DATA WILL BECOME AVAILABLE ON THE NCEP FTP SERVER ON APRIL 1 2008 AT THE FOLLOWING URL /USE LOWERCASE/:

   FTP://FTP.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PUB/DATA/NCCF/COM/GFS/PARA

NCEP WOULD ENCOURAGE ALL USERS TO ENSURE THEIR DECODERS ARE FLEXIBLE AND ARE ABLE TO ADEQUATELY HANDLE CHANGES IN CONTENT ORDER...PARAMETER FIELDS CHANGING ORDER...CHANGES IN THE SCALING FACTOR COMPONENT WITHIN THE PDS OF THE GRIB FILES AND ANY VOLUME CHANGES THAT MAY BE FORTHCOMING. THESE ELEMENTS MAY CHANGE WITH FUTURE NCEP MODEL IMPLEMENTATIONS. NCEP WILL MAKE EVERY ATTEMPT TO ALERT USERS TO THESE CHANGES BEFORE IMPLEMENTATIONS.

FOR QUESTIONS CONCERNING THESE CHANGES...PLEASE CONTACT:
MARK IREDELL
NCEP GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
PHONE: 301-763-8000 X7231
EMAIL: MARK.IREDELL@xxxxxxxx
OR
KEN CAMPANA
NCEP GLOBAL MODELING BRANCH
CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND
PHONE: 301-763-8000 X7228
EMAIL: KENNETH.CAMPANA@xxxxxxxx

NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE/:

    HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$




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