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Posted: Fri, Feb 12, 1993 3:54 PM EST Msg: CGJD-5555-7729 k.mielke(rec) CC: l.miller.ucar(rec) Subj: NGM MOS post-processing change - PTYPE I sent the following message on AFOS, etc. this afternoon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC 121949 NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-03 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 245 PM EST FRI FEB 12 1993 TO: ALL NWS OFFICES, DOMESTIC DATA SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: POST-PROCESSING CHANGE FOR THE NGM MOS CONDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECASTS (THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS PROVIDED BY MARY ERICKSON OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY.) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on February 17, 1993, a change will be made in the methods used to post-process the Nested Grid Model (NGM)-based Model Output Statistics (MOS) conditional precipitation type probabilities. This change will ensure that the sum of the probability of freezing precipitation or ice pellets and the probability of snow does not exceed 100%. The categorical forecast of precipitation type will not be affected by this change. The NGM MOS conditional precipitation type guidance is available in the FWC category for AFOS users and in the FOUS14 KWBC bulletin for the Family of Services' Domestic Data Service Subscribers. For further information on the precipitation type guidance, please see Technical Procedures Bulletin (TPB) No. 408 or contact Mary Erickson at (301)-763-8151. END
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