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Posted: Fri, Apr 23, 1993 4:51 PM EDT Msg: NGJD-5655-3606 K.MIELKE(REC), G.HUFFORD(REC), G.TRAPP(REC), E.YOUNG.NWS(REC) CC: L.MILLER.UCAR(REC), m.glackin(rec), r.przywarty(rec), h.glahn(rec) Subj: 3 NTIMS REGARDING LFM PHASE-OUT I sent the 3 following National Technical Information Messages out on AFOS (and the usual other circuits) this afternoon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1) WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC 23HHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 245 PM EDT FRI APR 23 1993 TO: NWS OFFICES, FAA CIRCUITS, DOMESTIC DATA SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS, OFFUTT AFB, ISPAN FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: DISCONTINUATION OF LFM-BASED BULLETINS FOUS22, FMUS44, FXUS50-53, FXUS60-61 (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY PAUL DALLAVALLE OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on April 28, 1993, the National Weather Service will terminate production of the FOUS22 KWBC and FMUS44 KWBC bulletins that are now being transmitted twice a day at approximately 0200 and 1400 UTC. Similarly, the FXUS50 KWBC, FXUS51 KWBC, FXUS52 KWBC, FXUS53 KWBC, FXUS60 KWBC, and FXUS61 KWBC bulletins that are transmitted daily at approximately 0200 UTC will also be terminated. Transmission of all these bulletins is being ended as part of the upcoming phase-out of the LFM model for the contiguous U.S. by about June 1, 1993. Of these bulletins, only the FMUS44 is distributed on AFOS (AFOS PIL NMCFGPW); it provides probability forecasts of the convective gust potential for stations in the western U.S. The FMUS44 message is distributed on the U.S. Air Force's Automated Weather Network. No comparable product is available from the NGM-based Model Output Statistics (MOS) system. The FOUS22 message contains LFM-based MOS forecasts of the maximum/minimum temperature and probability of precipitation for selected cities in the U.S. This message is not available on AFOS, but is disseminated to the FAA's Weather Message Switching Center, the Family of Service's Domestic Data Service, and the U.S. Air Force's Automated Weather Network. Comparable forecasts from the NGM-based MOS system are available in the FOUS14 KWBC message. Interested users are referred to Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 408 for a complete description of this latter bulletin. The FXUS bulletins provide LFM-based MOS thunderstorm, severe local storm, and tornado probability guidance for the 12- to 36-h interval following 0000 UTC. Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 199 describes these products, which are disseminated only to the U.S. Air Force's Automated Weather Network. Comparable LFM-based MOS guidance for thunderstorms and severe local storms is available on DIFAX chart D143 issued at approximately 1300 UTC during the April 16 - September 16 period. [This DIFAX chart will continue to be generated from the LFM until an NGM replacement is developed later this year.] Year-round NGM-based MOS thunderstorm and local severe thunderstorm guidance is available in the FOUS14 message mentioned previously and is described in Technical Procedures Bulletin Nos. 407 and 408. If you need further information on the NGM-based MOS guidance, please call Paul Dallavalle of the Techniques Development Laboratory at (301) 763-8151, or write to him at: NOAA/National Weather Service Techniques Development Laboratory, W/OSD21 5200 Auth Road, Rm. 706 Camp Springs, MD 20746 More information about the phase-out of the LFM model for the contiguous U.S. and the status of other LFM-based products will be forthcoming from the Office of Meteorology, both mailed directly to users, and via future National Technical Information Messages. If you have any questions about the phase-out of the LFM for the contiguous U.S., call Mary Robinson or Chris Alex of the Office of Meteorology at (301)-713-0462. SENT - W/OM23 _____________________________________________________________________ ********************************************************************* 2) WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC 23HHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 250 PM EDT FRI APR 23 1993 TO: ALL NWS OFFICES FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: NMCFTPWR MESSAGE TO BE GENERATED FROM THE NGM MODEL RATHER THAN THE LFM MODEL (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY PAUL DALLAVALLE OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on April 28, 1993, the National Weather Service will replace LFM-based MOS maximum/ minimum (max/min) temperature forecasts given in the NMCFTPWR message with NGM-based MOS max/min temperature forecasts. This message is available only to NWS users. On AFOS, the message is available as the NMCFTPWR product; on the ISPAN data feed, it is available under the WMO header FOUS33 KWBC. This alphanumeric product contains forecasts for the 24- through 60-h periods for selected stations in the western U.S. The NGM- based version of this product will be generated at approximately 0400 and 1600 UTC. NOTE: Currently, these messages are generated at 0200 and 1400 UTC. Conversion of this bulletin is part of the effort to eliminate the LFM model guidance for the contiguous U.S. by about June 1, 1993. If you need further information on the NGM-based MOS guidance, please call Paul Dallavalle of the Techniques Development Laboratory at (301) 763-8151, or write to him at: NOAA/National Weather Service Techniques Development Laboratory, W/OSD21 5200 Auth Road, Rm. 706 Camp Springs, MD 20746 More information about the phase-out of the LFM model for the contiguous U.S. and the status of other LFM-based products will be forthcoming from the Office of Meteorology, both mailed directly to users, and via future National Technical Information Messages. If you have any questions about the phase-out of the LFM for the contiguous U.S., call Mary Robinson or Chris Alex of the Office of Meteorology at (301)-713-0462. SENT - W/OM23 ******************************************************************** #################################################################### 3) WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC 23HHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 255 PM EDT FRI APR 23 1993 TO: USERS OF NMCFTJ50-57 MESSAGES (NWS OFFICES, FAA USERS, DOMESTIC DATA SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS, CANADIAN AES USERS, OFFUTT AFB, ISPAN FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: TRAJECTORY MODEL ALPHANUMERIC FORECASTS TO BE CHANGED FROM LFM-BASED TO NGM-BASED (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY PAUL DALLAVALLE OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on April 28, 1993, the National Weather Service will replace the guidance contained in FOUS50 KWBC, FOUS51 KWBC, FOUS52 KWBC, FOUS53 KWBC, FOUS54 KWBC, FOUS55 KWBC, FOUS56 KWBC, and FOUS57 KWBC bulletins. Currently, these bulletins contain forecasts from the LFM-based trajectory model. On or about April 28th at 1200 UTC, these bulletins will contain forecasts from the NGM-based trajectory model. These alphanumeric products are distributed on AFOS as products NMCFTJ50, NMCFTJ51, NMCFTJ52, NMCFTJ53, NMCFTJ54, NMCFTJ55, NMCFTJ56, and NMCFTJ57, respectively. The bulletins are also disseminated to the FAA's Weather Message Switching Center, the Family of Service's Domestic Data Service, the Canadian Atmospheric Environment Service, and the U.S. Air Force's Automated Weather Network. The NGM-based guidance will be generated at approximately 0400 and 1600 UTC. NOTE: NOTE: Currently, these messages are generated at 0200 and 1400 UTC. Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 397 describes the trajectory model and the FOUS50-57 messages. Conversion of these bulletins is part of the effort to eliminate the LFM model guidance for the contiguous U.S. by about June 1, 1993. If you need further information on the trajectory model, please call Ron Reap of the Techniques Development Laboratory at (301) 713-1772, or write to him at: NOAA/National Weather Service Techniques Development Laboratory, W/OSD23 1325 East West Hwy #10380 Silver Spring, MD 20910 More information about the phase-out of the LFM model for the contiguous U.S. and the status of other LFM-based products will be forthcoming from the Office of Meteorology, both mailed directly to users, and via future National Technical Information Messages. If you have any questions about the phase-out of the LFM for the contiguous U.S., call Mary Robinson or Chris Alex of the Office of Meteorology at (301)-713-0462. SENT - W/OM23
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