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Posted: Fri, May 21, 1993 5:18 PM EDT Msg: IGJD-5713-5823 k.mielke(rec), g.hufford(rec), j.partain(rec), j.schaefer(rec) CC: l.miller.ucar(rec) Subj: 2 NTIMs and an Eta update All of you should have already gotten (or will receive momentarily) your "Dear Colleague" packages about the upcoming LFM/Eta changes. For Ken, Dan, and Dick, you should each have received two large boxes, one containing the 5 page cover letter and the second containing a 15 page Table. You need to send one of each to all of your offices. [NOTE: This is because we used the TPB mailing list, and that's how the distribution is set up for CR, SR, and WR. We direct-mail TPBs to offices in the other regions. Whenever things here settle down a little more, I'll coordinate with Ken, Dan, and Dick to see if you're interested in changing to a direct mail system from here...) The other regions I have taken care of the external users. If anyone needs extra copies of the package, just let me know. I ordered many extras, just in case. To update you on the TPB situation, I sent it to the printer today, in the final, desk-top published format. It should begin being distributed around May 26th. Again, this was a two-part printing job, due to the length (31 pages, but it's mostly figures). The two parts will be distributed together. So, Ken, Dan, and Dick again will receive two boxes (one for the first 16 pages, and the second for the next 16 pages), which should be redistributed from your mail rooms ASAP in order to get it out as much before June 8th as you can. Again, if you need extra copies, let me know. And now for the routine part...Isent out 2 National Technical Info. Messages (AFOS PIL: WSHPNSNMC; WMO Header: NOUS41 KWBC) earlier this week, which follow: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC DDHHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 200 PM EDT WED MAY 19 1993 TO: ALL NWS AFOS OFFICES FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: NEW NGM-BASED GRIDDED THUNDERSTORM DATA FOR THE STATE OF FLORIDA (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY RON REAP OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on May 26, 1993, the National Weather Service will add two new gridded products containing thunderstorm probability forecasts for Florida. These products will only be distributed on AFOS with the following identifiers: NMCGRDFL1 and NMCGRDFL2. The products will be generated at approximately 0400 and 1600 UTC and will be initially available on the Southern Region loop of the AFOS network. The products contain thunderstorm probabilities for the 18-30 hr (0000 UTC) (NMCGRDFL1) and 30-42 h projection (1200 UTC) (NMCGRDFL2). The forecasts are generated from NGM forecast fields and climatological lightning data. They represent the probability of two or more cloud-to-ground lightning flashes per 12-km grid block. Since the products are gridded data, they cannot be directly displayed on the AFOS system. An applications program designed to unpack, contour, and display the gridded forecasts in graphical form is currently under development at TDL and should be completed in the near future. A followup National Technical Information Message will be issued to alert users when the applications program is available at NWS regional offices. In addition, efforts are ongoing to add the gridded thunderstorm products to the Central Region AFOS loop. Users will be notified via an AFOS Change Notice when this change occurs. If you need further information on the gridded forecasts for Florida, please call Ron Reap of the Techniques Development Laboratory at (301) 713-1772, or write to him at: NOAA/National Weather Service Techniques Development Laboratory, W/OSD21 1325 East-West Highway #10380 Silver Spring, Md. 20910 SENT - W/OM23 (end of 1st NTIM) -------------------------------------------------------------------- ******************************************************************** WSHPNSNMC NOUS41 KWBC DDHHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 200 PM EDT WED MAY 19 1993 TO: NWS OFFICES, AFOS GRAPHICS SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS, DIFAX SUBSCRIBERS FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: ADDITIONAL TRAJECTORY MODEL GRAPHICS TO BE CHANGED FROM LFM-BASED TO NGM-BASED (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY PAUL DALLAVALLE OF THE TECHNIQUES DEVELOPMENT LABORATORY) Effective with the 1200 UTC cycle on May 26, 1993, the National Weather Service will replace the AFOS and DIFAX graphics products that contain forecasts of the LFM-based trajectory model with graphics products containing forecasts of the NGM-based trajectory model. The products containing forecast parcel trajectories are distributed on AFOS with the following identifiers: NMCGPH0WJ, NMCGPH8WJ, NMCGPH7WJ, NMCGPH0W1, NMCGPH8W1, and NMCGPH7W1. These products contain the 24-h forecasts of parcel trajectories terminating at the surface, at 850 mb, and at 700 mb in the eastern U.S.; and at the surface, at 850 mb, and at 700 mb in the western U.S., respectively. A four-panel chart containing forecasts of parcel trajectories, temperatures, dew points, the K-index, and the 700-mb net vertical displacement is transmitted over the DIFAX circuit in slot D074 at approximately 0420 UTC and in slot D218 at approximately 1624 UTC. All of these products will contain forecasts based on the NGM trajectory model. Note that the NGM-based guidance will be generated at approximately 0400 and 1600 UTC. Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 397 describes the trajectory model and the graphics products. Conversion of these products is part of the continuing effort to implement the Early Eta model and to phase-out the LFM guidance for the contiguous U.S. If you need further information on the trajectory model, please call Ron Reap of the Techniques Development Laboratory at (301) 713-1772, or write to him at: NOAA/National Weather Service Techniques Development Laboratory, W/OSD23 1325 East West Hwy #10380 Silver Spring, MD 20910 If you have any questions about the phase-out of the LFM for the contiguous U.S., call Mary Robinson or Chris Alex of the Office of Meteorology at (301)-713-0462. SENT - W/OM23 (end 2nd NTIM) ********************************************************************
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