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Posted: Sat, Jun 12, 1993 7:53 PM EDT Msg: CGJD-5749-5507 g.carter(rec), e.young.nws(rec), k.mielke(rec), l.miller.ucar(rec), t.whittaker(rec), j.schaefer(rec), j.partain(rec), j.neilon(rec), r.lavoie(rec) CC: e.kalnay(rec), r.petersen.nmc(rec), r.przywarty(rec), j.travers(rec) Subj: Two AFOS Messages The following messages were transmitted over AFOS and various other comms circuits on Friday afternoon at approx 0530 EDT. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ZCZC WSHPNSNMC ALL TTAA00 KWSH DDHHMM NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 93-22...RETRANSMITTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS 530 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 1993 TO: ALL USERS OF THE NGM AND ETA MODELS: NWS OFFICES, CARSWELL AFB, CANADA/AES, FAA/WEATHER MESSAGE SWITCHING CENTER, and FAMILY OF SERVICES USERS (DOMESTIC DATA SERVICE and AFOS GRAPHICS SERVICE) FROM: MARY M. GLACKIN CHIEF, SERVICES DEVELOPMENT BRANCH SUBJECT: PROBLEM WITH THE SNOW COVER ANALYSIS USED IN THE ETA AND NESTED GRID MODELS (INFORMATION FOR THIS ANNOUNCEMENT HAS BEEN PROVIDED BY KEN MITCHELL OF THE DEVELOPMENT DIVISION OF NMC) In the past few days, forecasters in Alaska Region have noticed a problem with the surface thermal fields in the Nested Grid Model (NGM). NMC Development Division has looked into this, and it has been traced to a problem with the daily snow cover analysis which is used in BOTH THE NGM AND THE ETA MODELS, and is produced by the Air Force. The USAF snow cover analysis is overanalyzing snow cover over the entire state of Alaska, northern Nevada, central Idaho, western Washington, western Oregon, and the western 1/6th of Canada. The effect of this problem is a low level cold bias in both the NGM and Eta forecasts for the areas mentioned above. In addition to the graphics produced from the NGM and Eta models, this would also be evident in the direct model output FOUS products from both models, particularly in the T1 and T3 temperature and the Lifted Index guidance. For the Eta, the AFOS PILs which may be affected are FRH72, FRH75, and FRH76 and the WMO headers are FOUS72 KWBC, FOUS75 KWBC, and FOUS76 KWBC. For the NGM, the AFOS PILs which may be affected are FRHT72, FRHT75, FRHT76, FRHT83, and FRHT88 and the WMO headers are FOUW72 KWBC, FOCN75 KWBC, FOCN76 KWBC, FOUW83 KWBC, and FOUS88 KWBC. The NGM MOS temperature guidance (AFOS category FWC; WMO header FOUS14) should also be used with caution in the affected areas. In addition, anyone using low level thermal fields from the NGM or Eta gridded data should use that guidance with caution. NMC Development Division is still investigating possible solutions to this problem, on a very high priority. Thanks for the input from the Alaska Region regarding this problem. A follow-up message will be issued next week regarding an implementation to solve this problem. If you have any questions, call Ken Mitchell at (301)-763-8161. SENT - W/OM23 NNNN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ZCZC WSHPNSWSH ALL TTAA00 KWSH DDHHMM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT 540 PM EDT FRI JUN 11 1993 ATTENTION: ALL NWS OFFICES, FAMILY OF SERVICES SUBSCRIBERS, NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS, OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PRODUCT USERS ...UNION LAWSUIT STALLS MOVE TO NEW WEATHER OFFICES... Due to legal action by the National Weather Service Employees Organization, planned June 14, 1993 actions to upgrade current National Weather Service facilities in Boston and New York to state-of-the-art Weather Forecast Offices must be postponed. "We had hoped that the modernized facilities and companion weather radar units could be in use along the northeast coast for the 1993 Hurricane Season," said Dr. Elbert W. Friday, Assistant NOAA Administrator for Weather Services. As part of the National Weather Service's (NWS) nationwide Modernization and Restructuring program, which is designed to bring the country into the 21st Century with the latest advances in weather technology, computerization, and communications systems, personnel were scheduled to move to a new Weather Service facility in Taunton, Mass. from the NWS office in Boston. A lawsuit by the employees union seeking to block the move was rejected by U.S. District Court Judge John Martin in Manhattan on June 4, 1993. However, in seeking a stay of the move pending an appeal, the employees union obtained an injunction from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in New York City, which effectively blocks the move until that court issues a decision. A hearing before the Second Circuit has been scheduled for August 9, 1993. The National Weather Service is considering what further relief may be available. A July 12, 1993 move of the Northeast River Forecast Center from Bloomfield, Conn. to the new office in Taunton will not be affected by the legal action. However, the legal action will stall a planned July 26, 1993 Weather Service move from New York City to a new Weather Forecast Office at the Brookhaven National Laboratory in Eastern Long Island. The construction--and utilization--of 116 new Weather Forecast Offices are part of a nationwide modernization program designed to help protect the lives and property of residents throughout the United States, said Susan F. Zevin, National Weather Service Eastern Region Director. END
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