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999 NOUS41 KWBC 131517 PNSWSH PUBLIC INFO. STATEMENT...TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 99-08 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 1130 AM EDT THU MAY 13 1999 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: LEROY SPAYD...CHIEF...SCIENCE AND TRAINING CORE SUBJECT: CHANGES TO THE NCEP OPERATIONAL ETA MODEL SYSTEM AT 1200 UTC 13 MAY 1999 THE 3-D VARIATIONAL (3DVAR) ANALYSIS USED IN THE OPERATIONAL ETA MODEL RUNS (00Z...03Z...12Z AND 18Z) AND USED IN THE ETA DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM (EDAS) WAS CHANGED TO CORRECT PARAMETERS INFLUENCING THE BALANCE BETWEEN THE ANALYZED MASS AND WIND FIELDS. IN NOVEMBER 1998...THESE PARAMETERS WERE ADJUSTED IN SUCH A WAY AS TO DRAW MORE CLOSELY FOR RADIOSONDE DATA BUT THIS ADJUSTMENT HAD THE NEGATIVE EFFECT OF PRODUCING MUCH WEAKER BALANCE BETWEEN MASS AND WIND ANALYSIS FIELDS. THIS OCCURRED PRIMARILY IN REGIONS WITH MOSTLY SINGLE LEVEL OR SINGLE TYPE DATA (E.G. SATELLITE TEMPERATURE PROFILES... FLIGHT-LEVEL AIRCRAFT DATA OR SATELLITE CLOUD-DRIFT WINDS). THE RESULT WAS FREQUENT POOR ETA ANALYSES ESPECIALLY OVER OCEANIC REGIONS AND POOR FORECASTS ESPECIALLY AT LONGER RANGES. THE CORRECTED 3DVAR PRODUCES MORE BALANCED MASS AND WIND ANALYSES AT SLIGHT EXPENSE OF THE INITIAL FIT TO RADIOSONDE DATA. TESTS OF THE CORRECTED 3DVAR ANALYSIS PRODUCED MUCH HIGHER FORECAST ACCURACY. FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS CHANGE CAN BE FOUND AT : HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/TPB/3D-ETA.HTM /LOWER CASE/ IF YOU HAVE FURTHER QUESTIONS...CONTACT GEOFFREY J DIMEGO NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING CENTER MESOSCALE MODELING BRANCH NWS OFA ROUTE: W/NP22 5200 AUTH RD 207 WWBG CAMP SPRINGS MD 20746-4304 (301)763-8000 X7221 INTERNET ADDRESS: GEOFF.DIMEGO/AT SIGN/ NOAA.GOV THIS AND OTHER NOTICES ARE ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM /LOWER CASE/ END
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