20011011: Op Seasonal Climate Focst -ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC (fwd)

• To: nws-changes@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
• Subject: 20011011: Op Seasonal Climate Focst -ADMIN NOTICE NOUS41 KWBC (fwd)
• From: Linda Miller <lmiller@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
• Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2001 15:29:42 -0600

846
NOUS41 KWBC 111759
PNSWSH

PUBLIC INFO. STATEMENT...TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 01-27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
200 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2001

TO:       FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER
          WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS
          WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS...
          NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
          /NWS/ CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:     ROBERT E. LIVEZEY
          CHIEF...CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

SUBJECT:  IMPLEMENTATION OF OPERATIONAL SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECAST
          MODEL...EFFECTIVE NOVEMBER 6 2001

...THE FOLLOWING NEW MODEL GUIDANCE WILL ONLY BE AVAILABLE VIA
FTP FROM THE NWS SERVER...

EFFECTIVE NOVEMBER 6 2001...THE ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING CENTER
/EMC/ OF THE NWS NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
/NCEP/ WILL OPERATIONALLY IMPLEMENT THE CLIMATE ATMOSPHERIC
GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL AND ASSOCIATED SOFTWARE AND DATA SETS.
MODEL DATA ACCESS WILL BE FROM THE FOLLOWING FTP SITE /USE UPPER
OR LOWER CASE/:

     TGFTP.NWS.NOAA.GOV

THE MODEL WILL BE RUN ONCE A MONTH AND UPDATED OUTPUT WILL BE
AVAILABLE ON THE 6TH OF EACH MONTH.  MEAN MONTHLY FORECAST OUTPUT
WILL BE IN ALPHANUMERIC GRIDDED FORMATS FOR GEOPOTENTIAL
HEIGHT...TEMPERATURE...WIND...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT THE
STANDARD PRESSURE LEVELS OF 1000...850...700...500...400...
300...250...200...150...AND 100 MILLIBARS.  BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ONLY BE AVAILABLE UP TO 400 MILLIBARS.

THIS MODEL IS THE FIRST OF A NEW THREE-COMPONENT OPERATIONAL
SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECAST SUITE.  THE TWO OTHER FUTURE COMPONENTS
OF THE SUITE WILL BE AN OCEAN DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM /INCLUDING
REAL-TIME OCEANIC DATA SETS AND QUALITY CONTROL PROCEDURES/ AND A
COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERIC MODEL FOR FORECASTING SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES OUT TO 9 MONTHS IN ADVANCE.

THIS MODEL HAS BEEN RUNNING IN EXPERIMENTAL FASHION ON THE
RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PART OF THE NCEP CENTRAL COMPUTER.
UPGRADING THE MODEL FROM EXPERIMENTAL TO OPERATIONAL STATUS WILL
HELP ENSURE THE FOLLOWING:

     RELIABILITY AND TIMELY PRODUCTION OF THE SEASONAL CLIMATE
     FORECAST GUIDANCE TO BETTER SUPPORT THE OPERATIONAL MISSIONS
     OF THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER

     MAKE DIGITAL CLIMATE MODEL OUTPUT AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC
     VIA THE FTP SITE LISTED ABOVE

THIS NEW MODEL WAS APPROVED AT THE SEPTEMBER 5 MEETING OF THE
NWS COMMITTEE ON ANALYSIS AND FORECAST TECHNIQUES IMPLEMENTATION
/CAFTI/.  A COPY OF THE PRESENTATION MADE AT THAT MEETING IS
AVAILABLE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE/:

     HTTP://WWW.EMC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/CMB/CAFTI/PRESENTATION/

MORE DETAILS ON THIS CLIMATE FORECAST MODEL CAN BE FOUND IN NWS
TECHNICAL PROCEDURES BULLETIN NUMBER 480 AT /USE LOWER CASE/:

          HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/TPB/480BODY.HTM

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT THIS MODEL...PLEASE CONTACT:

     DR. HUA-LU PAN
     NCEP/NOAA W/NP23
     5200 AUTH RD. RM 204
     CAMP SPRINGS MD 20746-4303
     PHONE: 301-763-8000 EXT. 7234
     E-MAIL: HUALU.PAN@xxxxxxxx

THIS AND OTHER NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE AVAILABLE
ON THE INTERNET AT /USE LOWER CASE/:

     HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

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