20060327: thunderstorm MOS

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NOUS41 KWBC 272005
PNSWSH

TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICE 06-17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC
305 PM EST MON MAR 27 2006

TO:       FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA
         WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...
         EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK
         /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS... NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...
         OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS AND
         PARTNERS...NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:     PAUL HIRSCHBERG
         CHIEF...SCIENCE PLANS BRANCH
         OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY /OST/

SUBJECT:  ENHANCEMENTS OF GFS-BASED MOS THUNDERSTORM
         PRODUCTS: EFFECTIVE APRIL 25 2006

ATTENTION: USERS OF THE MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS /MOS/GUIDANCE

ON TUESDAY APRIL 25 2006...DURING THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL
TIME /UTC/ MODEL CYCLE...NWS WILL REPLACE THE EQUATIONS USED TO
GENERATE THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/ BASED MOS GUIDANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES.
THE NEW THUNDERSTORM GUIDANCE WILL REFLECT PROBABILITIES BASED ON
A 40 KILOMETER LAMBERT CONFORMAL GRID RATHER THAN THE PREVIOUSLY
USED 48 KILOMETER POLAR STEREOGRAPHIC GRID. THE GUIDANCE IS
AVAILABLE IN TEXT AND BUFR MESSAGES AND WILL NOW ALSO BE
AVAILABLE IN THE EXTENDED-RANGE 1200 UTC MESSAGES. THESE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCTS WERE REDEVELOPED TO PREPARE FOR THE GRIDDED
MOS SUITE OUTLINED IN TIN 05-56 /PROVIDED IN A LINK BELOW/.

SHORT-RANGE GFS MOS GUIDANCE IS GENERATED FOUR TIMES A DAY FOR
PROJECTIONS OUT TO 84 HOURS IN ADVANCE. THE EXTENDED-RANGE GFS
MOS GUIDANCE IS GENERATED TWICE A DAY FOR PROJECTIONS OUT TO 192
HOURS IN ADVANCE. THE COMMUNICATION IDENTIFIERS FOR THESE
PRODUCTS ARE LISTED IN TABLE 1.

TABLE 1:  WMO HEADING AND AWIPS IDENTIFIERS OF THE AFFECTED GFS
MOS GUIDANCE PRODUCTS

    WMO HEADING    AWIPS ID     GEOGRAPHIC REGION

    TEXT PRODUCTS
    FOUS21 KNOW    MAVNE1       NORTH EAST U.S.
    FEUS21 KNOW    MEXNE1       NORTH EAST U.S.
    FOUS22 KNOW    MAVSE1       SOUTH EAST U.S.
    FEUS22 KNOW    MEXSE1       SOUTH EAST U.S.
    FOUS23 KNOW    MAVNC1       NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
    FEUS23 KNOW    MEXNC1       NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
    FOUS24 KNOW    MAVSC1       SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.
    FEUS24 KNOW    MEXSC1       SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.
    FOUS25 KNOW    MAVRM1       ROCKY MOUNTAIN U.S.
    FEUS25 KNOW    MEXRM1       ROCKY MOUNTAIN U.S.
    FOUS26 KNOW    MAVWC1       WEST COAST U.S.
    FEUS26 KNOW    MEXWC1       WEST COAST U.S.

    BUFR PRODUCTS
    JSML31 KNOW                 NORTH EAST U.S.
    JSMT31 KNOW                 NORTH EAST U.S.
    JSML32 KNOW                 SOUTH EAST U.S.
    JSMT32 KNOW                 SOUTH EAST U.S.
    JSML33 KNOW                 NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
    JSMT33 KNOW                 NORTH CENTRAL U.S.
    JSML34 KNOW                 SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.
    JSMT34 KNOW                 SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.
    JSML35 KNOW                 ROCKY MOUNTAIN U.S.
    JSMT35 KNOW                 ROCKY MOUNTAIN U.S.
    JSML36 KNOW                 WEST COAST U.S.
    JSMT36 KNOW                 WEST COAST U.S.

A PREVIOUSLY ISSUED TECHNICAL INFORMATION NOTICE REGARDING
GRIDDED MOS IS AVAILABLE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIFICATION/OLD/TIN05-
56AAA_GFS_MOS_DELAY.TXT

LINKS TO THESE PRODUCTS...ALONG WITH DESCRIPTIONS...CAN BE FOUND
ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

     HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/MDL/SYNOP/PRODUCTS.SHTML

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS PLEASE CONTACT:

KATHRYN HUGHES
MDL/SILVER SPRING MARYLAND
PHONE: 301 713 0023 EXT. 130
E-MAIL: KATHRYN.HUGHES@xxxxxxxx

THIS AND OTHER NWS TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION NOTICES ARE
AVAILABLE ONLINE AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

  HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM

$$
NNNN


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