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055 NOUS41 KWBC 101831 PNSWSH Technical Implementation Notice 10-45 National Weather Service Headquarters Washington DC 230 PM EDT Fri Sep 10 2010 To: Subscribers: -Family of Services -NOAA Weather Wire Service -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network -NOAAPORT Other NWS Partners...Users and Employees From: Tim McClung Science Plans Branch Chief Office of Science and Technology Subject: Addition of GEFS/NAEFS Products for Alaska: Effective November 30, 2010 Effective November 30, 2010, beginning with the 1200 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) run, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will generate downscaled probabilistic products for Alaska from the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS). There will be no change to the GEFS and NAEFS models. This implementation is only to create new output products for Alaska. These new products will be disseminated on the NCEP server via http and ftp. The following describes the new Alaskan products: 1. Geographic coverage is the 6km NDFD grid (grid 198), which covers all of Alaska 2. Products will be in GRIB2 format 3. Output produced four times per day (0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UTC) 4. Output available every 6 hours out to 384 hours 5. Output available for eight variables: surface pressure 2-meter temperature 2-meter maximum temperature 2-meter minimum temperature 10-meter u-wind 10-meter v-wind 10-meter wind speed 10-meter wind direction 6. Ensemble products for each of the 8 variables listed above include: 10% probability forecast (filename ge10pt) 50% probability forecast (filename ge50pt) 90% probability forecast (filename ge90pt) Ensemble mean forecast (filename geavg) Ensemble mode forecast (filename gemode) Ensemble spread forecast (filename gesprd) Test data is currently available at: ftp://ftp.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/yzhu/alaska_q4fy2010/ Specific information regarding the GEFS/NAEFS model and associated products can be found at: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/yzhu/html/imp/201004_imp.html A consistent parallel feed of data will become available on the NCEP server once the model is running in parallel on the NCEP Central Computing System by mid-October. The parallel data will be available via the following URLs: http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/gens/para ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gens/para The products will be available in the ndgd_gb2 directories under gefs and naefs. The files will have alaska in the filename. After the implementation, the operational products will be available on the same server but the URLs above will end in prod rather than para. NCEP encourages all users to ensure their decoders are flexible and are able to adequately handle changes in content order, changes in the scaling factor component within the product definition section (PDS) of the GRIB files, and also any volume changes which may be forthcoming. These elements may change with future NCEP model implementations. NCEP will make every attempt to alert users to these changes prior to any implementations. For questions regarding these changes...please contact: Yuejian Zhu NCEP...Global Modeling Branch Camp Springs, Maryland Phone: 301-763-8000 X 7052 Email:Yuejian.Zhu@xxxxxxxx For questions regarding the dataflow aspects of these data sets... please contact: Rebecca Cosgrove NCEP/NCO Dataflow Team Camp Springs, Maryland 20746 Phone: 301-763-8000 X 7198 Email:ncep.list.pmb-dataflow@xxxxxxxx NWS National Technical Implementation Notices are online at: http://www.weather.gov/os/notif.htm $$ NNNN
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