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-------- Original Message -------- 095 NOUS41 KWBC 181837 PNSWSH Technical Implementation Notice 10-50, Amended National Weather Service Headquarters Washington DC 136 PM EST Fri Feb 18 2011 To: Subscribers: -Family of Services -NOAA Weather Wire Service -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network -NOAAPORT Other NWS Partners, Users and Employees From: Timothy McClung Chief, Science Plans Branch Office of Science and Technology Subject: Amended: Changes to the North American Ensemble Forecasting System (NAEFS): Effective March 1, 2011 Amended to reschedule this implementation for March 1, 2011. Also amended to remove the inclusion of the global ensemble system run by the Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center in the NAEFS system. Effective Tuesday, March 1, 2011, beginning with the 1200 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) run, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will make modifications to the North American Ensemble Forecasting System (NAEFS). The current NAEFS output is derived by combining the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and the Canadian Meteorological Centers GEFS. The NAEFS output is disseminated only via the NCEP server. Products are available for http and ftp download at the following URLs: http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/gens/prod/ and ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gens/prod/ NCEP will be modifying the output available from the NCEP GEFS, CMC GEFS and the NAEFS. These modifications include: Adding the following 13 bias-corrected elements to the NCEP GEFS and NAEFS output for all probabilistic products: 10 hPa(mb) geopotential height 10 hPa(mb) temperature 10 hPa(mb) u component of wind 10 hPa(mb) v component of wind 50 hPa(mb) geopotential height 50 hPa(mb) temperature 50 hPa(mb) u component of wind 50 hPa(mb) v component of wind 100 hPa(mb) geopotential height 100 hPa(mb) temperature 100 hPa(mb) u component of wind 100 hPa(mb) v component of wind 850 hPa(mb) vertical velocity The directory location of the raw CMC GEFS data will be changed. Starting on March 1, the GRIB2 output for the individual member and ensemble means and spreads will be online in the following directories, where YYYYMMDD is the date and CC is the model cycle: http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/gens/prod/cmce.YYYYMM DD/CC/pgrb2a and ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gens/prod/cmce.YYYYMMD D/CC/pgrb2a/ In addition, the following 28 variables will be added to the CMC output: 10 hPa(mb) geopotential height 10 hPa(mb) temperature 10 hPa(mb) relative humidity 10 hPa(mb) u component of wind 10 hPa(mb) v component of wind 50 hPa(mb) geopotential height 50 hPa(mb) temperature 50 hPa(mb) relative humidity 50 hPa(mb) u component of wind 50 hPa(mb) v component of wind 100 hPa(mb) geopotential height 100 hPa(mb) temperature 100 hPa(mb) relative humidity 100 hPa(mb) u component of wind 100 hPa(mb) v component of wind 850 hPa(mb) vertical velocity Convective inhibition (CIN 180-0 hPa) Latent heat net flux Sensible heat net flux Downward shortwave radiation flux at surface Downward longwave radiation flux at surface Upward shortwave radiation flux at surface Upward longwave radiation flux at surface Upward longwave radiation flux at top of atmosphere Volumetric soil moisture (0-10cm) Water equivalent of accumulated snow depth Snow depth (surface) Soil temperature (0-10cm down) Data delivery timing is not expected to be impacted by the implementation. There will only be a minor increase in the data volumes of existing files due to the addition of new variables. A sample dataset for this NAEFS implementation is available at: ftp://ftp.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/yzhu/1q2011 Specific information regarding the NAEFS and scientific implementation is online at: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/yzhu/html/imp/201012_imp.html By early December, once the model is running in parallel on the NCEP Central Computing System, a consistent parallel feed of data will be available on the NCEP server. The parallel data will be available via the following URLs: http://www.ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nccf/com/gens/para and ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gens/para NCEP urges all users to ensure their decoders can handle changes in content order, changes in the scaling factor component within the product definition section (PDS) of the GRIB files, and volume changes. These elements may change with future NCEP model implementations. NCEP will make every attempt to alert users to these changes before implementation. For questions regarding these changes, please contact: Yuejian Zhu NCEP/Global Modeling Branch Camp Springs , Maryland 301-763-8000 X 7052 Yuejian.Zhu@xxxxxxxx For questions regarding the dataflow aspects of these datasets, please contact: Rebecca Cosgrove NCEP/NCO Dataflow Team Camp Springs , Maryland 20746 301-763-8000 X 7198 ncep.pmb.dataflow@xxxxxxxx National Technical Implementation Notices are online at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notif.htm $$ NNNN
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